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Care challenges in rural and island regions threaten long-term economic sustainability

A coastal landscape and village.
Looking at Scalloway from the Lerwick side in Shetland.

Rural and island communities across Scotland face growing challenges in delivering both elderly care and childcare, as rapidly ageing populations, workforce shortages and rising costs place increasing strain on local services and economies, according to a new report.

The, led by ֱ and undertaken as part of the Scottish Government’s Strategic Research Programme2022-2027,reveals new insights intohow demographic change isdrivingareshapingofdemand for care in rural and islandcommunitiesat a much faster pace than inurban Scotland,andexaminesspatial differences and how pressures have intensified over time.

While many older residents continue working beyond the age of 65 and make vital contributions to fragile local economies,ֱresearchers warn that reliance on older workersmaymaskdeeper structural pressures in health, socialcareand childcare provision.

Professor Steven Thomson, lead author of the report, said: “Rural and island communities are experiencing a double challenge:rising demand for elderly care alongside persistent barriers to accessing affordable childcare. Both are essential to sustaining local workforces and economic activity, yet both are becoming harder to deliver in areas facing ageing populations, recruitmentdifficultiesand higher operating costs.”

The report finds that ageing populations, declining numbers of working-age adults and a shrinking care workforce are already limiting the capacity of rural and island areas to meet care needs locally. In some communities, a declining care-home footprint and difficulties recruiting health and social care staff mean older residents are increasingly reliant on informal, family-based or community support,often placingadditionalpressure on households already facing high living costs.

At the same time, limited access to affordable childcare is constraining opportunities for younger families, particularly women, toparticipatefully in the labour market. These barriers reinforce population decline and undermine efforts to attract andretainworking-age residents, creating long-term risks for economic sustainability.

The findings underline the importance of a community-oriented approach to health and social care, one that reflects the realities of rural geography, dispersedpopulationsand higher service delivery costs. Researchers also link care provision directly to economic outcomes, noting that healthy life expectancy, the ability to remain economically active in later life and the availability of childcare,are all critical to sustaining rural and island economies.

Child povertyremainsa serious concern, with one in five children in rural areas living in relative poverty. Families often face limited access to childcare, healthcare and transport, compounding financial pressures and reducing employment options. For older residents, higher fuel costs, poorer housing energyefficiencyand reduced service access furtherexacerbateinequality and vulnerability.

Based on the evidence presented, the report calls for coordinated, long-term investment to address care provision alongside housing, transport, digital connectivity and workforce development.

Priority actionsidentifiedinclude:

  • Strengthening community-based health, socialcareand childcare provision
  • Tackling workforce shortages through targeted recruitment,trainingand housing support
  • Supporting demographic renewal by improving conditions for families and younger workers
  • Ensuring care, decarbonisation and infrastructure policies reflect rural and island realities
  • Embedding community voices in planning and decision-making.

As well as addressing the challenges of childcare and elderly care provision in rural areas, the reportexploresa range of othercriticalissues, includingdemographic change, experiences of poverty (including fuel poverty),transport and connectivity (including changing freight volumes at Scotland’s ports and the seasonality of car and passenger travel by ferries, and digital connectivity), housing and energy costs,andchanges in agriculture (includingchanges in livestock numbers,workforce engagement rates, payment levels to farmers, andsupported activity on commongrazings).

Theresearchwas led byProfessor Steven Thomsonalongsideresearchers Jenny McMillan,DrFrancis Naab, Lorna Pate,DrAnaWinship, Bryony Nelson,DrIan Merrell, NatashaColemanandDrJane Atterton.

Further analysiswill be publishedover the coming year, drawing on new census outputs across demography, migration, housing, education, labourmarketsand health.

The report isavailable here:

Andalsoinfigsharehere:

ճ󾱲 (NISRIE) project is funded within the Rural Futures Theme of the Scottish Government's .


Posted by ֱ News on 22/12/2025

Tags: ֱ and Campuses, Rural Policy Centre, Research
Categories: ֱ and Campuses | Research